Thursday, January 10, 2019

Which Teams Have The Best Farm Systems

Who currently has the best farm system?

I tried to answer that  question by estimating the "draft capital" of each team.  I looked at the Season 38-41 drafts and IFA signings, and assigned the following values for each slot:

Draft pick 1-5:                                 5
Draft pick 6-10:                              3
Draft pick 11-15:                              1
IFA Bonus >$28MM:                    5
IFA Bonus $18MM-$28MM:       3
IFA Bonus $10MM-$18MM:        1

I adjusted for trades and didn't include any players that have already been promoted to the Majors.

Here are the totals:

41 41 40 40 39 39 38 38

Draft IFA Draft IFA Draft IFA Draft IFA
Kansas City Jayhawks 3 5 5
1 5 1 2 22
New York Lincoln Giants 1
5 3 10

2 21
Montgomery Scotts
5
5 5 3

18
Jacksonville Fake ID’s 5 3


3 3 3 17
San Francisco Fog

3 1 3 5
3 15
Baltimore Crabs
3 6
5


14
Philadelphia Erffdoggs 5
5
3

1 14
Richmond High Rollers


8
2 1
11
Las Vegas Desperados 5
5




10
Scottsdale Cardinals 5
3
1


9
Toledo Walleye 5
3

1

9
Wichita Plainsmen 3
1 5



9
Los Angeles Motley Crue

3
3
1
7
Cincinnati Red Stockings






5 5
Florida Poison Dart Frogs





5
5
Chicago Orphans 3
1




4
Hartford Monarchs 1
3




4
New Orleans Voodoo
1
3



4
Pittsburgh Dream Eaters 3
1




4
San Juan Padres 1


3


4
Salem Witch Hunters 3






3
Boston Beer Bellies
1


1

2
Colorado House of Horrors 1


1


2
Columbus Buckeyes
1
1



2
Oakland Shillelagh

1


1
2
Oklahoma City Apocalypse
1

1


2
Tacoma Merchants




1
1 2
Honolulu Luau Dawgs 1






1
Pawtucket Paladins




1

1
Milwaukee Chedda







0
Montreal Shamrocks







0
Texas Stars







0
Obviously, this is a rough, mechanistic sorting with no "eyeball" evaluations included, so there will be some inaccuracies (you don't have to have a high ADV to see that Jacksonville's Lorenzo Rosario and Tony Arias, for example, are more like 5's than the 3's they got on the estimate by being relative IFA bargains).

Still, it should be a pretty good indicator of which teams will be moving up the standings over the next couple of seasons.

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