Tuesday, March 16, 2021

Season 50 Pre-Season Power Rankings

 SEASON 50 Power Rankings (Pre-Season Rank)

Before the season advances too far away from the beginning, I am introducing what I am calling the Pre-Season Power Rankings.  Its been a while since I used my ranking formula which is not very sophisticated any more and is not well tested, but it was uniform and applied in the same manner to all teams to determine the strength of a team, and likelihood of success.  This formula is "a work in progress" and I hope to improve it from year to year. As mentioned, this is intended to be a Pre-Season Rank, and Current records played no part in these projections.  In short: The method gives an ML team quality rating to each team, based on the overall quality of the ML roster. The method is the same for each team. Its simple math really. Either way, I've said enough...here they are!                 

Rank

Team

1


Austin

2


Ottowa

3


Louisville

4


New Orleans

5


New York

6


Vancouver

7


Kansas City

8


Houston

9


Trenton

10


Indianapolis

11


Madison

12


Omaha

13


Richmond

14


Boston

15


Arizona

16


Philly

17


San Francisco

18


Buffalo

19


Honolulu

20


Toronto

21


Milwaukee

22


San Juan

23


Colorado Springs

24


Montgomery

25


Scottsdale

26


St. Louis

27


Los Angelas

28


Memphis

29


Columbus

30


Florida

31


Jacksonville

32


Anaheim

COMING SOON.....the NL SOUTH Season Preview

 

Monday, March 15, 2021

Season 50 AL North Preview and Projections


Season 50 Preview and Projections
 

 AL NORTH

 
We start off the previews and projections in the AL North, which always seems to be one of the toughest divisions in Hobbs and is the standard of the American League. At the top of the division is dakar, the current Hobbs Champion and AL North title winner 7 years running, with no sign of slowing down.  If there were a Hall of Fame for the all time great Hobbs owners, dakar would surely be atop the very short list.  Dakar is the longest tenured owner in Hobbs, and right there with him is wholk, who have been part of Hobbs and the AL North Division since seasons 1 and 3 respectively.  The AL North Division returned all its owners for season 50, Zattack is going into his 10th season and coach34, a former owner in Hobbs, is going into his 5th season.   

👀Future Hobbs Headline Alert - Keep an eye on Hobbs Headlines for a story on the history of the owners in Roy Hobbs. 

Curious to know if it was just me, or if there was some truth to my assumption that the AL North is a true powerhouse division in the AL, I posed the questionHow many seasons since Hobbs inception has the AL North had the top winning team in the American League? 

The Answer❓❔❓.....well lets just say, its a lot. 

Using my limited research staff and low budget statistical analysts, I concluded that the AL North Division has had the top winning team or has tied for the most wins, in 28 of the 49 seasons, with Kansas City having 18 of them.  Two of the three highest season win totals of all-time in the AL are from AL North Teams. Both the Jayhawks and Erffdoggs have posted a win total of 117 in a single season, which is just under the AL record of 118.  Not surprisingly, the very first World Series in Roy Hobbs World was won by an AL North team, the Seattle Imperials, which is now the Milwaukee Franchise.

 

Kansas City Jayhawks 
dakar🏆🏆🏆

Season 49 Record 104-58 (World Series Champions)



Highlights of Season 49     The Jayhawks were projected to win the division and make another run in the playoffs, which is exactly what they did.  Fueled by the lost opportunity to repeat as champions in Season 48 and their disappointing exit in the ALDS after entering the playoffs as the League's top team, dakar added some talent in the offseason and set their sights on the World Series Title. Everything went right for Kansas City in Season 49.  Like a machine, they won the division, earned a first round bye as the #1 seed, and cruised through the playoffs winning both the ALCS and the Worlds Series 4 games to 1.

Willie Matos
Pascual Castillo
Pascual Castillo
 Bo Guerrier won the AL Batting title hitting .363 for the season and a Kansas City Franchise record for batting average in a single season.  The team as a whole hit .282 for the year, but the story for the Jayhawks was their pitching, with overall dominating seasons by Pascual Castillo and Willie Matos and several others. 

Offseason changes/moves

Not a lot changed, but they lost their primary 2B Lenny Mack who thinks he's the difference maker and flipped to the NL to help out Austin after beating them for the 2nd time in the World Series.  Maybe he's the key...keep an eye on Mack come playoff time.  Dilson Rodriguez re-signed as a minor league Free Agent,  but a few days later he packed up his stuff and moved to Omaha (Rule 5). Kansas City still has no idea he is gone. Dolf Adams came over in a trade with Buffalo to take over in CF. Perhaps the best move was declining Willie Matos option and letting him walk, then picking him up at a discount in Free Agency. Risky move, but it worked and the 40 year old is tearing it up.  

Season 50 Outlook

Happy Cepeda
Its business as usual in Kansas City, sitting comfortably at 13-4. (Now 16-10)The early schedule set up a series against all three division opponents, and the Jayhawks went 9-1 in those games putting them in first place, which is likely where they will stay for the entire season.  Its all smiles in Kansas City...they even have a guy named "Happy" on the team.  The Jayhawks look strong again and are sure to make the playoffs, but can they win it again this year, or are they one of those every other year types?...only time will tell.                 


 
Madison Mashers 
coach34

Season 49 Record 95-67

Highlights of Season 49 The previously bewildered Mashers fans were singing a different tune in Season 49. The Mashers finally put it together and won a respectable 95 games and got the 1st Wild Card spot and made the Postseason for the first time in 7 years. The prior year defensive moves worked out and the bullpen, which was solid, got much better. Newcomer Jacob Barker went 13-1 in 120 innings of middle relief, and Erv Person was impressive as a rookie reliever, and closer Benny Lira took home the AL Fireman of the year award. The team MPV, however goes to All Star and Silver Slugger left fielder, Felix Cave who hit .312 with 30 HR and 119 RBI's, scored 131 runs and had 215 hits. 

 Offseason changes/moves 

The core players remained, but Madison made several moves during the offseason. The biggest move was locking up Fireman of the year Benny Lira who agreed to a 5 year deal worth 31.5 million. 14 game winner, SP  Clarence Mays was released (remains unsigned), and standout rookie Erv Person will move into the rotation.  A few new arms were brought with hopes of some improvement, and to cut down on the walks. (3rd most in the AL). They also traded for DH David Andujar after declining the option of Domingo Marmol's in a move to open cap space.

 Season 50 Outlook

While the Mashers did not make any big changes to improve the roster, they did not lose any significant players either. The Mashers can be expected to remain competitive and make a push for a second straight playoff appearance, but they aren't ready to compete with Kansas City just yet.  So far they have gotten off to a slow start, but are well balanced in all areas and the wins should come.  Madison is currently top five in runs scored and runs allowed, and the team batting average will most certainly get better. Expect Madison to end the season with a similar record as last year. Hopefully the team won't be so excited about just making the playoffs that they forget about the Wild Card series like last year. The talent is there to advance.

Milwaukee Chedda 
Zattack

Season 49 Record 76-86



Highlights of Season 49

The 90 win Wild Card team that went to the World Series one season before, saw a major decline in Season 49 and it ended in dissapointment.  Coaches and fans alike were left scratching their cheeseheads and searching for answers. Lets focus on the positive... P.T. Ordaz won a Gold Glove at Shortstop in the and RP Omar Nicasio went to his first All-Star Game. Omar finished the season with a 3.05 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 65 IP and was 30-34 in Saves.

Offseason changes/moves 

The Chedda went out and made some big moves in free agency. The were able to sign starter J.J Snell by luring him in with a first year 10 Million Dollar Bonus to hopefully improve the rotation. Next they won the bidding for 5 time All-Star SS Eddie Fonville offering him a Max Contract. Fonville earned his big payday by having his best season offensively in his contract year, he hit .308  with 37 HR and 129 RBI posting career highs in nearly every offensive category.  He will play primarily 3B in Milwaukee. 

 Season 50 Outlook

 Milwaukee should see some improvement over last season, and they are off to a good start, sitting just 2 games behind Kansas City (now 3 games back).  The offense right now is top 5 in runs scored (118) in the AL, and 3rd overall in team batting average (.281).  Hopefully it continues, because Milwaukee will have to be excellent offensively to stay in the race...if there is a slight drop in offensive production, I'm afraid the pitching just isn't strong enough to keep winning at this pace....runs allowed is not too far behind the runs scored. (111)

Philadelphia Erffdoggs 
wholk🏆
 
 Season 49 Record: 83-79
 
 

Highlights of Season 49  

Philly went from 102 wins in Season 48 to just over .500 in Season 49 and missed an opportunity to return to the playoffs.  What didn't change was the teams ability to hit the long ball.  Philly hit 313 Homeruns which was the most in the league.  Destin Shea (53) Tony Martin (45) and Nevin Stinnett (40) combined to hit 138 Homeruns with seven other guys in double digits.  

Offseason changes/moves 

The power hitters are all returning and offensively the team is basically the same.  The Erffdoggs changes were all in pitching.  They lost Starting Pitcher Theo Schulte and their primary closer and 6 time Fireman of the year guy, Yordano Valdes,to Free Agency, who at 40 years old is still a solid bullpen guy. Valdes is now with Omaha.  Philly went out and signed some younger pitching arms to add bullpen depth. 

 Season 50 Outlook

Philadelphia looks strong on paper, although they are off to a rough start. The dropoff to 83 wins last season may have been just a bit of bad luck, an Philly fans are hoping the team plays more like the 102 win squad.  With the power bats in tact, the lineup will produce runs.  If a few guys can get on base more regularly when the balls are flying over the fence, the Erffdoggs could be scary.  My stats guys were unable to come up with the team numbers for runners in scoring position or Home runs with guys on base, but jugding things by Shea, Martin, and Stinnet's RBI numbers, they were surely down. In fact, Shea's numbers for hits, 2B, 3B and HR were all up from the prior season, but his RBI's were down from 113 to 98. Watch for Philly to improve, but with the strength of this division, it will be a tall task for them to make it in the playoffs.  

Final AL North Standings Projection

AL NORTH:
1st Kansas City Jayhawks Projected AL North Champion
2nd Madison Mashers Projected Wild Card
3rd Philadelphia Erffdoggs
4th Milwaukee Chedda