How Did The Prognosticators Do?

S47 had the usual surprises, but I guess we can say our prognosticators were pretty decent.  top picked 5 of 8 division winners, while blanch got 6 of 8.  On average, blanch missed by 6.3 wins and top by 6.5.

The surprises.  Neither picked the AL West division winner (Los Angeles), although both were pretty tight on their win predictions for the division.

Our pickers missed Buffalo and Toronto by an average of 15 wins, so I guess those were our big surprise teams this year.  top's biggest miss was 23 under on Toronto; blanch's biggest whiff (not Boston or MOntreal for a change) was 17 under on Buffalo.

On average, the Al East and NL West (average miss by 8.5 wins) seemed to be the hardest to pick this year.  The AL West and NL South - both with average misses of 4.63 wins - were the easiest.

				Diff	Diff	Ave Diff	Div
AL North	top	blanch	Actual	top	blanch	Team	Diff
Kansas City	101	96	101	0	5	2.50	5.50
Milwaukee	88	89	91	3	2	2.50
Montreal	73	80	85	12	5	8.50
Philadelphia	94	91	84	10	7	8.50
AL East
Toledo	92	91	92	0	1	0.50	8.50
Boston	69	89	87	18	2	10.00
Buffalo	62	58	75	13	17	15.00
Trenton	87	76	73	14	3	8.50
AL South
Richmond	77	76	90	13	14	13.50	6.88
Florida	77	84	75	2	9	5.50
Montgomery	70	79	69	1	10	5.50
New Orleans	65	63	61	4	2	3.00
AL West
Los Angeles	76	83	82	6	1	3.50	4.63
Las Vegas	81	88	81	0	7	3.50
Oakland	82	74	76	6	2	4.00
Colorado	75	60	64	11	4	7.50
NL North
Toronto	73	89	96	23	7	15.00	7.50
Vancouver	91	83	92	1	9	5.00
New York	96	88	86	10	2	6.00
Ottawa	68	60	68	0	8	4.00
NL East
Columbus	89	89	99	10	10	10.00	5.13
Jacksonville	94	87	93	1	6	3.50
Cleveland	70	62	71	1	9	5.00
St. Louis	61	57	58	3	1	2.00
NL South
Austin	106	93	94	12	1	6.50	4.63
Houston	93	92	91	2	1	1.50
Jackson	82	89	78	4	11	7.50
San Juan	76	80	75	1	5	3.00
NL West
San Francisco	90	99	90	0	9	4.50	8.50
Honolulu	87	80	73	14	7	10.50
Salt Lake City	82	78	72	10	6	8.00
Scottsdale	67	89	70	3	19	11.00
				208	202
				6.50	6.31