Saturday, April 27, 2019

Power Rankings #7


Teams
score
Comment
Jacksonville
1
Was already the clear number #1 and then tied for the best week.
Florida
3.43
They would be the favorite to win the AL if they playoffs started now.  HOT!
Montgomery
3.63
An average week drops them a spot in the rankings, but they are still elite
San Francisco
3.87
Seems like the 2nd bye is all theirs
Columbus
4.63
Super hot, but its too late.  They will have to settle for the first wild card
Jackson
6.87
Jacksonville is tier 1, Florida-Columbus are tier 2.  The World Series winner should come from those tiers.
Pawtucket
7.47
Pawtucket has a great week and moves into a tie for a playoff spot.
San Juan
7.62
San Juan is 2 games out of the division and tied for the WC, but would be the best team to miss the playoffs right now.
Richmond
8.31
If I were a rich man, Yubby dibby dibby dibby dibby dibby dibby dum
Oakland
9.04
Their 16 win week probably ensures the AL West will be theirs.
Milwaukee
13.2
The first tier 4 team.
Boston
13.8
Hopefully they will enjoy games 163, 164, and 165.
Los Angeles
14.7
I like the "Iceman" handle.  Loved Top Gun!
Kansas City
15.1
Not in a good position tie breaker-wise.  Needs to win the division outright.
Toledo
15.2
Can still catch Boston, but not playing like the did last week.
Montreal
16.2
Terrific week, but its getting late.  They need another week like that to make the playoffs.
Salem
17
Still within sight of the playoffs, but has work to do.
Honolulu
17.2
One of the hotter teams in the league.
Pittsburgh
18.4
AAA team is 16-114, High A is 77-53.  I don't get it.
Philadelphia
18.6
Don't blame Harvey Tracey, he has been terrific.
Las Vegas
19.6
Kelvim Hasegawa might have punched his HoF ticket this season
New York
21.4
Sometimes 59-70 is enough
Baltimore
22
Tough we for the Crabs and everyone who has crabs.
Scottsdale
22.1
Ronald Hoover has 11 wins and 18 saves in only 72 innings.  Efficient!
Helena
23.1
Lorenzo Rosario is the clear Rookie of the Year.  33 HR's in 109 games and a strong CF.
New Orleans
26.3
Touki Epstein is the bright spot.
Colorado
27.4
Not trading Sam Stock was probably a mistake.  He's been terrific, but they have stunk.
Oklahoma City
27.7
On an L6.  What's the MWR again?
Cincinnati
27.9
Darrell Ryan has had a nice rookie year.
Hartford
28
Spent only 63.2 on players and 9mil on coaches so he should have a healthy prospect budget.  Has only spent 4.1 mil.  Interesting.
Chicago
29.2
A strong week!  How far can they rise?
Houston
30.8
Tied for the worst week, drops them to #32.

Sunday, April 21, 2019

Power Rankings #6


Teams
score
Comment
Jacksonville
1
2nd in runs, 2nd in era, 3rd in + plays, 1st in your heart
Montgomery
3.05
League leading 624 runs sets them apart as the clear #2 team
San Francisco
4.25
There is a new #3.  San Fran is a real threat to win it all.
Florida
4.75
Chaz Ross has blown 2 saves. . .in 3 seasons! (96%)
San Juan
5.25
2nd best week
Jackson
5.4
Jackson finally tumbles after weeks of so-so play
Columbus
6.25
Being first in ERA makes them a threat to win the World Series
Pawtucket
8.65
Yean Carlos Gonzalez needs 12 more home runs for 700
Richmond
9.95
A strong week leads them to rise 4 places
Boston
10.2
#1 in wins since the last ranking (16). Phil Kim has a 34 game hitting streak.
Toledo
13.2
Cesar Santiago has 32 saves already.
Oakland
14.2
Not great, but still leads their division
Pittsburgh
14.7
Only 6 wins in the last week
Los Angeles
14.9
Worst we week in Hobbs with only 5 wins.
Milwaukee
15
Basically a .500 team, but tied for their division lead
Kansas City
15.7
Severe home/road splits (38-19 vs. 18-35)
Montreal
17.3
Has played in a league leading 18 extra inning games already.
Salem
18.5
Currently on an L5
Baltimore
19.3
Spent more their draft pick (Lou Price a #16) than anyone else.
Las Vegas
19.9
Their AA team is pretty damn good.
Honolulu
20.3
Javier Valenzuela has a lead leading 8 triples already
Philadelphia
20.4
Tomas Alcantara leads the league win WHIP.
Helena
20.7
Emmanuel Fernandez is the only IFA to get 20 million or more
New York
20.9
Leads their division despite being 11-17 in 1 run games.
Scottsdale
21.8
A bad weak leads them to tumble in the ranking
Colorado
26.3
Greg Ward really does seem to have helped.
Oklahoma City
27.2
Too break getting a #3 starter at the #1 overall pick (Eugene Blake)
Hartford
27.8
Gareth Damon has 16 losses despite no starts.
New Orleans
28
Chris Osborne has 7 complete games already.
Cincinnati
28.1
Blanch says they drafted well
Houston
28.9
They are terrible, but they are also cheap
Chicago
31
Edgmer Galvis leads the league in errors

Friday, April 19, 2019

First-Round Draft Review #'s 1-10



#1 - Oklahoma City: Eugene Blake, SP - With pretty high HS scouting, Blake's projections looked pretty good...well, better than anyone else's in a particularly disappointing top ten.  Then the reveal of his currents showed a blah starting position across the board.  Best case with 4 seasons of diligent coaching and good development - a decent #3 starter.  Worst case:  development in some ratings stalls in his 3rd season and he's a #5 starter.  GRADE: C



#2 - Houston Colt .45's: Gene Del Valle, 2B - Even  though my scouts assigned Del Valle the highest OVR in this year's class, I moved him down to 14 due to a low projected vR and less-than-stellar projected vL and Eye.  Had I only scouted Blake as accurately (although I don't know who I would've taken instead).  His currents confirm a highly suspect bat although his defense will give him a career beyond the min salary years.  GRADE: C



#3 - New York Lincoln  Giants: Dellin Hernandez, SP - I moved Hernandez down to #10 on low projections for his control and pitches, even though the top 10 all looked about as good or bad to me.  I'm a little more optimistic on him now that we see his splits starting fairly high.  His control will always be an issue but it could easily get to the mid-5o's.  His pitches won't help much, but he should still become a #3 or #4 SP.
GRADE: B



#4 - Philadelphia Erffdoggs:  Corban Pierzynski, SP - I might've taken Pierzynski #1 if not for his health rating (currently 37 and not expected to top the mid-40's).  As it is he looks remarkably similar to Blake:  plenty of development to do and he probably will improve a lot, but shouldn't be expected to become more than a #3 starter.  All that IF he can stay healthy, which in his case might be the biggest challenge.  GRADE: C


#5 - Cincinnati Red Stockings: Benji Lopez, CF - Maybe one of the better picks of the top 10, if only that he looks like he could live up to his projections.  Decent contact and splits, a batting eye that may be his best offensive attribute, but no power to speak of.  His glove will need work to get him to 2B or CF status, but my scouts were optimistic on that count.  GRADE: B


#6 - New Orleans Voodoo:  Raymond DeJean, C - At first glance one could think he's a classic defensive C with a hitting profile that will disappoint - high contact and eye, but nothing in between.  But the second glance - at the defensive ratings - disconfirms the first.  His pitch-calling will be decidedly inferior and his woeful accuracy will erase any advantages of a fairly strong arm.  GRADE: C-



#7 - Toledo Walleye:  Napoleon Rogers, 2B - A lot depends on his glove development.  If it gets to 70, he could be a pretty interesting 2B with power.  If it's more like 65 he starts to look more like a defensive-replacement LF/1B who will give you a couple of PH HR's a season.  Still, a pretty interesting pick in a draft where we're straining to see talent where it might not exist (I didn't scout this guy).  GRADE: B



#8 - Scottsdale Cardinals:  Sal Callaway, SP - Another one I moved down due to health concerns, but I like the pick here...why not take a chance on a guy that might be a #2 SP?  My scouts liked the deep array of potentially good pitches, and his currents more or less confirm that take.  His splits are starting lower than you'd like, but should get to SP3 levels.  The big question here, as with a few others high in this class, is availability.  GRADE: C+


#9 - Chicago Orphans:  Dan Tipton, 3B - If I was only looking at this currents, I might be pretty optimistic about this guy; as a 21-yo college puke, you'd expect his ratings to start fairly high.  But my scouts weren't sanguine about his future (especially his range, accuracy and vR).  So I expect his improvements to stall out pretty early, but if I'm wrong Chicago may have landed a gem.  GRADE: C



#10 - Salem Witch Hunters:  Eric Guerrero, 2B - I had Guerrero #2 and strongly considered him at #1 based on my scouts' impressions that he would absolutely make RHP's his bitches.  His range will probably make him a LF rather than a 2B, but if he lives up to his hitting potential he might actually be the best prospect in this draft.  At this point though, it looks like Salem isn't signing  him... opting instead for a Type D next year?  If you could pull that off in this draft you probably made a good choice.   GRADE: A