Thursday, March 2, 2017

Season 34 AL North Preview



Kansas  City Jayhawks
dakar
Season 33: 84-78

Season 33 In A Nutshell
The Jayhawks have slowly whittled away at Philadelphia's divisional lead the past three seasons -- cutting the advantage from 11 games in S31 to 8 in S32 to 6 last season. Despite winning three less games last year, they managed to nudge closer simply because Philadelphia won five less games. But you have to give the Jayhawks credit, they managed 84 wins despite a makeshift starting rotation that featured just three starters, three long relievers, a promoted prospect, and a late trade addition -- none of whom logged more than 97 innings. For the second season in a row, the bullpen played a significant role, finishing with 52 saves, which was second in the league to (you guessed it) Philadelphia. The Jayhawks needed all the pitching help they could get as the offense scored 49 fewer runs while putting up a .261 team batting average that was less than the .271 clip of the previous season.

Big Offseason Moves
Kansas City made no major moves in the offseason, but added a couple of pitchers and a utility infielder. One of the free agent signees -- Vicente Prieto (117 IP, 4.83 ERA for Louisville) will join the list of long relievers that do swing duty for the Jayhawks. Set-up man Yeico Ortiz (98 IP, 3.49 ERA for Iowa) could become an integral cog for the oft-used relief corps. A trade with New Orleans brings in SS Dave Leonard, who played in AAA last season but the three previous seasons hit in the .250s while sporting a .981 fielding percentage. He could push starter Matt Redmond for playing time if Redmond can't shake off his sophomore hitting jinx (.206 BA).

Season 34 Outlook
Starting pitching continues to be the question mark for the Jayhawks. KC lost two of last season's three main starters -- Tomas Estrada (136 IP, 3.37) to free agency, and Khalil McKenry (125, 3.96), who was traded to Salem late in S32. Pascual Cordero (128, 5.26) returns, but the staff ace duties will likely fall to Don Bagley, who was a late-season trade acquisition from Trenton. Bagley compiled a solid 3.55 ERA in 200 IP and 34 starts between the two clubs he pitched for in S32. Free agent Prieto is a good bet to join the rotation as well. But of the five other spot starters to see action in S32, only two remain -- Olmedo Silva (67 IP, 5.67) and Dave Waters (94, 5.53). That means the bullpen will be called upon a lot in S33. The seven returning veterans combined for a 3.46 ERA in 474 innings of work. Ortiz adds another trustworthy arm to the group.

If the Jayhawks hope to end the dominance of Philadelphia in the AL North, they'll need the offense to soar to new levels in S32. They have the nucleus to match or better the .266 team batting average of a year ago.

RF Hugh Pierre (.347, 48 HR) and 2B Miguel Ramirez (.307, 23 HR) should lead the charge once again. S32's surprise was OF/3B Jensen Helms, who in his first year up from AAA hit .297 with 23 HRs in 397 ABs. Two other youngsters penciled into the lineup are 3B Beamer Summers, who hit .266 with 15 HRs, and 1B Adys Bethancourt (.293 with 24 HRs). 

Improved seasons from CF Matt Buddie (who's average dropped to .257 from .297); C Jackson Parris (.249 from .259); SS Matt Redmond (.206 compared to .225 in S32); and utility man Julio Villafuerte (.171 and 14 HRs compared to .250, 42 the prior season) would boost the chances for a title run. 




Burlington Bodacious
downboy
Season 33: 63-99

Season 33 In A Nutshell
Burlington's fortunes took a decided turn for the worse in S32 as the Bodacious suffered through a 19-game season-ending losing streak. That wiped away any chance for downboy to finish the first year of his ownership with an improved overall record. Instead, the Bodacious dropped eight games from the win column, and slid back into last place in the division standings, the worst performance for the franchise in 10 seasons.

Big Offseason Moves
The Bodacious stayed out of the free agency market during the offseason, but claimed four players in the Rule 5 draft, which was the same strategy downboy used last season. All four could be on the opening day roster. The best of the lot is contact hitting corner outfielder Hugh Munson, who was picked up from Nashville.

Season 34 Outlook
The Bodacious could be in for another long season. The retooled offense was one of the worst in the league in S32 -- finishing 31st in batting average at .239; 31st in runs scored with 599; 27th in homeruns with 158, all while piling up a dubious 1,128 strikeouts, sixth worst in the league. They also stole 55 fewer bases.

1B Peter Wall (.263, 19 HRs, team-leading 66 RBI) and RF Edgardo Mercedes (.265, 14 HRs, 46 RBI) were the only two returning starters to finish with batting averages above .250. The second-best power source on the team, rookie Buzz Bunning (20 HRs), has been demoted to AAA, leaving 2B Stan Magadan (.242, 21 HRs) and Wall as the best long-ball options.

It doesn't get much better on the mound for the Bodacious. Only three proven starters return -- Ruben Martinez (252 IP, 5.01 ERA), youngster Aroldis Urbina (243, 5.25), and Carlos Tavarez (180, 2.94), who is 37 this season. Alex Daniels started 24 games for Burlington last season, but he compiled just 94 innings of work -- less than 4 per outing.

The bright spots of the pitching staff are relievers Dillon Donatello (56 IP, 2.26 ERA), and Trey Reid (96, 4.20). Two other S32 relievers who had ERAs under 4.50 filed for free agency -- David Almora (69, 4.06) and Alvin Timlin (50, 3.44) and a third -- Henderson Farrell (91, 4.47) -- was released. Their departures leave the Bodacious with just 10 total pitchers on the roster heading into the season.


Philadelphia Erffdogs
wholck
Season 33: 90-72; Won Division; advanced to Division Series and lost to New Orleans

Season 33 In A Nutshell
A rock-solid bullpen and a steady starting rotation lifted the Erffdogs to their third straight division title in S33. Led by 22-year-old rookie set-up man Bralin Kohn (160 IP, 2.76 ERA), the bullpen combined for a collective ERA of under 3.75, and had a league-leading 53 saves. The 625-plus innings of work by relievers enabled Philadelphia to utilize a four-man starting rotation for the entire season. And for the second season in a row, three of the starters -- Doug Holt, Alex Quixote and 33-year-old veteran Happy Blue -- improved their ERAs.  

Big Offseason Moves
The Erffdogs were busy in the preseason, acquiring three players via trades, picking up one free agent, and promoting two AAA players. The trade acquisitions include reliever Carlos Johnson (65 IP, 5.65) from Columbus; 2B Trace Federowicz (.253, 18 HR) from Montreal; and prospect LF Nicholas Wilkins (.325/40 HRs in AAA) from Charlotte. The free agent signee is former Toledo reliever Ivan Belisario (47 IP, 3.66). In-system prospects Ordomar Estrada (114 IP, 2.99) and C Tony Penny (.308, 6 HR) were promoted from AAA, and both could vie for playing time.

Season 34 Outlook
For two seasons the fortunes of the Errfdogs have hinged largely on the success of their pitching -- especially the bullpen. They will need that mound consistency to continue in S34 if they hope to claim their fourth straight division title.

The pitching staff trimmed its ERA from 4.19 in S32 to 3.90 last season, which was the sixth-lowest ERA in the league. Starters Doug Holt (206 IP, 3.50) and Alex Quixote (202, 3.44) anchor the four-man rotation that also features Glenn Bako (185, 4.97) and 34-year-old Happy Blue, whose 181 IP, 4.43 ERA season certainly left management smiling.

But the real stars are the relievers who averaged about 4 innings of work per game. The pen got an unexpected boost from rookie Bralin Kohn, whose 160 innings of work topped all relievers, and his 2.76 ERA was better than everyone except veteran closer Yardano Valdes (41 saves), whose 2.24 ERA in 64 innings was slightly up from the previous year. Young star Che-Hsuan Woo suffered no sophomore jinx (3.61) despite increasing his workload by 21 innings. At 38, Rick Roberts remained a major contributor, hurling 84 innings for a respectable 4.06 ERA. And free agent pickup Norberto Lecuona was a stellar addition (84 IP, 4.16).

The addition of free agent relievers Ivan Belisario (47 IP, 3.66 for Toledo) and Carlos Johnson (65 IP, 5.65 for Columbus) could signal that 23-year-old Cesar Benavente will get more starts this year.

Philadelphia's offense lost a bit of its punch in S33 as the team average dropped from .271 to .261, and the lineup scored 49 fewer runs. But one key measure to the team's success was a lower strikeout rate -- 35 fewer whiffs in S32.

The most notable offensive drop-offs were from 1B Yamil Ibanez, whose average dropped 29 points to .290 with 7 less homers; CF Gene Cummings, who had 9 less homers and hit .256 compared to .279 in S32; and LF Lefty Simon, whose average slid 66 points from .317 to .251.

The thing to keep in mind with this offense is the age of most of the starters. Seven of the 11 players who had 300-plus ABs are under the age of 29. That includes DH Dario Stults, who clubbed 49 HRs and hit .289 last season.

One other youngster could have an impact this season. Tony Penny, 26 (.308 in AAA) could pressure veteran C Esmerling Tabaka for playing time, especially against right-handers.
 



Montreal Shamrocks
jmercer77                      
Season 33:  67-95

Season 33 In A Nutshell
The Shamrocks' transition slowed in S33 but they still managed to win 3 more games than they did in S32. JMercer managed to cobble together a decent lineup despite losing three key starters to trades and free agency prior to S32's first pitch. The pitching improved incrementally, reducing opponents' OAV from .284 to .272 and slicing the team ERA to 5.04 from 5.45. That coupled with Burlington's late season collapse was enough to lift the Shamrocks out of last place in the division, a position they had settled into for four consecutive seasons.

Big Offseason Moves
The Shamrocks lost 2B Trace Federowicz and C Carlos Polanco, but managed to sign free agent Cesar Olivares (177 AB, .266), C from Texas. Long reliever Aroldis Guerrero (2.41 ERA in 60 IP at AAA) was picked up from New Orleans in the Rule 5 draft, and in-house AAA prospects Tito McDade and Tony Gao were promoted.

Season 34 Outlook
Offensively, the Shamrocks should continue to improve. Veterans DH Victor Ramirez (.262, 29 HRs), 1B/LF Terrell Young (.304, 28), CF Terry Sears (.283, 20), and 3B Josh Gates (.267, 11) return to anchor the lineup. Second year players Dillon Crosby and Peter Dorsey will battle for the 2B job vacated by Federowicz. New addition Olivares and holdover Jack Saunders will likely platoon at catcher. Light-hitting Yorvit Ortiz provides defensive stability at SS. Reserves Fautino Mercedes (.291 in 227 ABs) and Chad Buller (.265 in 279 ABS) will vie for playing time in RF. 

The key to further improvement this season is the starting pitching. Heading into the season, the Shamrocks' roster lists four starters -- veteran Vin Gonzalez (191 IP, 5.22 ERA), Phillip Nunnally (168, 3.80 in his rookie season), Juan Marichal (147, 6.05) and J.R. George (120, 6.23). All but Nunnally need to lower the number of runs they are giving up to give the offense a fighting chance to keep the Shamrocks in more games.


Four members of the 7-man bullpen also sported ERA's north of 5.00 last season, including the two called on most frequently -- Elmer Randolph (109 IP, 5.60) and Gregory Starling (99, 5.16).



Division Prediction
For the fifth straight season, this should be a two-team race for the division title. On paper, Philadelphia has the upper hand and should win its fourth consecutive title. The Erffdogs continue to have the top pitching in the division, and just enough offense to keep them slightly out of the reach of the Jayhawks. If Kansas City's platoon pitching strategy holds up for another season, the Jayhawks should easily outdistance Montreal, even if the Shamrocks manage to improve their overall record for the third year in a row. Unfortunately, the chances of any type of "Bodacious" finish for Burlington is slim at best.
1. Philadelphia
2. Kansas City
3. Montreal
4. Burlington

 -- editor21




Wednesday, March 1, 2017

Season 34 AL West Preview

AL West Previews:

Las Vegas DesperaDOS
the_wacker
Season 33:  91-71, won Division, lost in first round to Durham

Season 33 In A Nutshell
After taking over one of Hobbs most successful franchises, the_wacker actually managed to not only continue the playoff string to 16 straight seasons, he actually won 3 more games than the previous year.  Now the big question: can he do it again with the talented but aging group?


Big Offseason Moves
The DesperaDOS lost a lot of players to age and cost, including fan favorites Al Pujols LF, Fred O'Malley DH and Lew Ellis SP.  Also gone are Juan Martinez C, Willie Butler SP, Don Barfield CF, Michael Kiesler SS and Mariano Delgado RP.  The pitching will be easily replaced by FA signees Nelson Jordan(14-10 4.05), Corey Booker (7-8 5.18) and Steve Davis (12-10 4.04), while P.T. Feliz is an upgrade over Pujols.  Some of the others roster slots may no be so easily filled.



Season 34 Outlook
Offensively, any team would be happy to start building around perennial MVP Jin-Chi Itou (67/155/.345)and Jumbo Sanchez. (27/86/.317) They are ably supported by Dayan Franco (25/79/.262), Cristobal Morales (22/97/.317), Robinzon Beltran (20/56/.306), Jed Davis (22/69/.327) and the aforementioned Feliz (25/86/.271).  Feliz has to wondering why he is being punished by now watching Itou play every day after losing out on so many Silver Sluggers and All Star appearances to him.  Maybe he will get lucky and it will turn out that nightly visits to the Mustang Ranch will elevate his game too.

Shortstop will be handled by Steve Rivera and Gerald Pryce.  Both fine defenders, but weak bats.  Pedro James will be adequate defensively in CF, but not good enough to cover his weak bat.  Still, he can steal a base and his price is right.  The bench is thin, and Davis could really use a solid backup at C.

Booker, Jordan and Davis, along with holdovers Dillon Mays (14-6 4.21) and Duffy Miller (5-6 5.22)make for a very solid rotation, but the pen is full of question marks.  Felipe Gonzalez (16-9 3.41) is the best of the bunch, but may also end up in the rotation if Miller isn't ready.  Diego Gonzalez has pretty good stuff, but it hasn't translated into good performances three of the last four seasons.  None of the rest are even going to make a good staff.  However, when you invest this heavily in star power, something has to give.

Prognosis: One more time in the playoffs and a probably a division title again.  A deep run would be a surprise.

Trades I would like to see: if there is anything of value in the minors, at least one more RP.  Mostly, I would probably be combing the WW and FA lists for pitching and depth at catcher and the rest of the bench.









Cheyenne Huckleberries

nicbase2
Season 33:  70-92

Season 33 In A Nutshell
An eight game improvement is never a bad thing, but I suspect that nicbase was looking for more after retooling his team and bringing in some nice talent.  Given another season together and an influx of some more young talent, I bet this year come closer to what he was expecting.


Big Offseason Moves
Pretty much all small off season moves this year.  Moving on were SS Sherman Dixon whose defense was slipping, pitchers Enny James, Carlos Guerrero, Ezdra Olivares and Pete Roundtree all of who were replacement level players plus Jason Torre who was a useful spare part in RF.  The only additions were RP Juan Veras (9-2 4.69) and defensive C Mariano Silva, who also is valuable against righties to the tune of 4/37/.298.



Season 34 Outlook
The starting pitching is lead by Ramiro Lira (14-6 3.95), Sam Bellinger (11-14 4.44), Jorge Martis (10-12 4.44) and Shawn McIntyre (11-9 4.23) with Lariel Vega (2-3 6.45) the mot likely fifth starter.  Solid, but not a group that is likely to get them to the playoffs without a lot of help.

Luckily, the bullpen has more reasons to be excited.  Sean Kennedy (4-4 0 2.62) and Ehire Quintana (4-4 36 3.25) form the back of the pen, but would probably be more help if neither was designated the closer, allowing them to accumulate more innings.  They are supported by Veras, Pete Allen (0-1 0 4.12), Giomar Aceves (3-4 0 3.48).

Offensively, long time star Nicky Cooke (24/84/.270 0) has some pretty decent support now.  2B Tarrik Stockton hopes to bounce back from serious injury to improve upon his performance last season (8/20/.303).  DH Ernest Palmer (35/99/.265) and 3B Javier Alarcon (30/90/.282) are the other big bats While LF Sam Wright (11/50/.259) shows promise and RF Jedd Giambi looks to bounce back from a subpar season 33 (6/53/.274) to be one of the better led off hitters in Hobbs.  At SS, Buster Munoz (3/24/.254 is the best bet defensively, but will be pushed by 2 rookies, Destin Harang (3/22/.280 in a cup of coffee, and Wayne Langerhans (47/115/.293 in AAA).  Both have fine bats but will be challenged with the glove.  One of these players will possibly be slated to play CF as there are no clear candidates, but all will be challenged by inferior range.  Newcomer Silva will get a lot of the time at C, but will likely split time with KIki Petit (15/46/.221) and Omar Hernandez (14/47/.289).  All 3 are good with the glove and offer some help with the bat.

Prognosis: Look for improvement in Cheyenne, but no big step forward....80-85 wins seems about right.

Trades I would like to see:  Anything that will bring them a legitimate CF.







Vancouver Ravens

editor21                                 
Season 33:  78-84

Season 33 In A Nutshell
Yet another AL West team that made a minor improvement (5 games in the win column)and is hoping for a little better this year, while still controlling payroll to keep building.


Big Offseason Moves
Like nicbase in Cheyenne, editor21 is using a minimalist approach to rebuilding.  His only losses were RP Rob Phelps, who had disappointed for 3 straight seasons despite good stuff and 3B Willie Martin, who was also in decline and easily replaced by low cost FA Jim Salazar (20/82/.292).  The other pickup of note was LF Ernest Stynes (9/33/.251)


Season 34 Outlook
The Ravens are betting on some of their home grown players to blossom into stars this year.  LF Greg Ward (33/84/.271) is already a star, he just needs to make the step up to superstar.  He has the skills to do it all: a 45 homer, 120 RBI, .290 average with 100 walks and runs scored and 50 steals while winning a Gold Glove is certainly a possibility.  Vic Guerreri (30/103/.287) is a young bookend in right.  While I his ceiling is not quite as high, he can still be an All-Star.  C Ken Jay 39/105/.302) is a hitting machine, but with questionable arm and pitch calling skills.

The supporting cast includes CF Denny Miller (26/94/.257), 3B Salazar, bounce back candidate 2B Rodney Stinnett (17/57/.222) and defensive wiz SS Stew Rogers (a surprising 12/62/.260). What is missing are a bashing 1B and DH.  Newcomer Stynes may fill part of that need, and Yamil Cairo at AAA has promise, but jumped all the way from Low A and is only 21, so another year in the minors would do him some good. Another good minor league player, SS Jim Pressley is ready, but would be a better fit at second or third.

Pitching is this team's Achilles Heel.  Felipe Lee is the erstwhile ace, but had to endure being sent to the pen last year as he struggled through a 5-10 4.92 season.  Lariel Vasquez (14-10 4.11) was probably their next best starter, while Chone Rivera (8-11 4.65) is another youngster who should improve.  Mark Cloud (2-1 7 4.41) should probably get a look for the rotation and Kevin Hong (9-14 5.92) is better than his record.  Miguel Cedeno (7-11 4.26) may beat out Cloud again for fifth starter duty.

The bullpen is an question mark.  To be kind.  Steve Young (9-3 3 5.86), Tom Perez (6-2 4 4.56), Ramon Lim (3-0 2 4.09), Edgar Gonzalez (2-2 3 4.71), Yoslan Beltre (1-4 6 4.86) and Andrew Merrick (8-11 4.98 are not a good group.  Some of them are still young and could improve, but still not good.  The best news is that there is help down on the farm.  Marcell Calixte is ready and should be better than any of the current ML players and there are others who should be as good for less money for next year.

Prognosis: With a little more money spent on the pitching, this team could have contended with the declining Las Vegas, but I sense that editor sees his opening being another season away and just being in the mix for second as good enough.

Trades I would like to see: Moving a AAAA SP for a defensive C would make a lot of sense. Also signing one, of the FA leftovers for 1B and DH would make a ton of sense.  Finding a good defensive catcher and letting Jay spend a lot of time at DH would be a big boost to help out the pitching.






San Diego Surf Sharks

Iceman67
Season 33:  69-93

Season 33 In A Nutshell
A second straight 69 win season last year with reason to think that more may be possible.


Big Offseason Moves
A lot of FA defections: SP Luther Roosevelt (12-15 4.19), RP Shelley Hull (2-0 1 3.18), RP Laynce Jay (5-8 1 3.65), SS Carlos Ozuna (10/41/.237), 1B Dick Roth (0/34/.281) and DH Alfred Ozuna (42/112/.287).  FA additions were RF Conor Webber (10/30/.269), RP Victor Estrada (10-5 9 4.66) and the big investment was SP Cristian Remlinger (12-10 5.31).


Season 34 Outlook
Starting with the pitching, Remlinger is a bit of a question mark.  Although talented, he can't throw enough innings to justify his price tag, but the move to Petco should be just what the doctor ordered to get his numbers to match his potential.  He joins Bernie Gonzalez (12-12 3.88), Eli Izquierdo (11-19 4.71), Rex Lincoln (13-10 5.22) and Jhonatan Marquez (6-16 5.56) in the rotation.  

The Pen adds Estrada to Emil Ontiveros (3-6 1 4.51), Chris Reagan (3-0 28 0.47 in a 'pitched out of his mind' season), Sal Creek (3-2 0 4.91) and Ed Bowles (2-3 1 4.74) in front of excellent closer Wil Gray (0-1 36 2.33).  There are some good pieces here, but the problem is that the better pitchers struggle to amass many innings.

RF Alex Diaz (33/94/.264) is the star hitter.  Rookie Thumper 'The Bunny' Tucker is slated to play 1B. Moe Morgan (29/77/.266) is the primary catcher who is definitely offense oriented.  CF Hanley Chase (21/84/.261) is a great defender and no slouch with the bat.  Weber should fit neatly into LF, and from there the hitting comes to an abrupt halt.  2B Russ Dye (2/34/.238), 3B D. J. Curtis (13/54/.244) add very little production, while rookies SS Edgar Oliva and DH/1B Beamer Matzek look like below average hitters for their positions.

All is not bleak in perfect weather land however.  The farm has some promise for near-term help.  Former #3 overall pick SP Mark Pettitte should get the call at some point this season and become an instant ace.  Former #8 overall 1B/COF Dillon Mateo is likewise ready, and while not a power hitter, is a great contact hitter.  (I'm thinking a Tony Gwynn clone with a little more power.)  

Prognosis: With Pettitte and Mateo waiting in the wings, SD goes from a distant fourth in this division to another team fighting for second.  There are other AAA players who may prove to be upgrades as well, but none of them are sure bets.

Trades I would like to see: Yet another team that would benefit from a defense oriented catcher to let Morgan DH part time.  Trading a prospect for an upgrade at 2B, 3B or SS would also not hurt, but of course no one likes to trade away their future unless they feel like their time is right now.


Division Prediction
1.Las Vegas.  A major injury to Itou would change everything, but right now he carries them to the top yet again.
2. The other three spots could easily fall in any order as I feel these teams might all end up within 2-3 wins of one another.  Nonetheless, I will take a shot and call Vancouver the number two team based on hitting.
3.Cheyenne gets the nod at number three.
4.San Diego finishes last with the caveat that this is the team I could be most wrong about due to the 2 talented rookies.








Season 34 NL East Preview




Jacksonville Men of a Certain Age
topoftheworl
Season 33: 69-93


Season 33 In A Nutshell

A colorful rebuilding campaign that saw the trades of longtime stars Rick Branson, Yovani Guzman and Diory Diaz.
Big seasons by Vinny Catalanotto (.311/33/80) and 2nd-year first baseman Yoervis Barrios (.261/23/77) kept them competitive.

Biggest Offseason Moves
Dealt Catalanotto to Indy; signed CF Stan Hackman and SP Lew Ellis; re-signed relievers Orlando Fernandez and Benji Ramirez.

Season 34 Preview
More of the same, but probably a dip lower toward the mwr, as the talent is looking pretty thin.  Barrios is solid at first, as is Tex Cromer at 3B, and LF Arthur Wells is a major-league player.  Let's hope Arthur Bryant (RF) can dig deep and find one more ML-caliber season.


Just guessing at the rotation:  Lew Ellis, Russell Montgomery, Alex Martin and...???  On the bright side, looking forward to seeing what Chaz Ross (Season 30 #17 can do.  Wish he had a little more stamina/durability, but he still looks like a lights-out 1-inning stopper.

Prognosis: 4th

Trade I'd Like To See:  I think the trading's done.  Find-and-develop-talent time.


Columbus Ohioans
gdmetz
Season 33: 61-101


Season 33 In A Nutshell
It was just 3 Springs ago (in HBD time) that kdfan, coming off a surprise East title and trip to the WS (losing 4-1 to Las Vegas), went for broke and assembled what looked at the time like a super-team: starters Santos Eovaldi and Louis Wilson, 2B Bartolo Cela, COF's Reagan and Hasegawa, plus what looked to be a strong supporting cast.  Result:  the team scored nearly 200 fewer runs, runs allowed went up, and they belly-flopped their way to 76 wins.  Seasons 32 and 33 were all about undoing the super-team.

Biggest Offseason Moves
Traded Louis Wilson, acquired a load of defense (Enrique Lugo, Bernard Christiansen, Oswaldo Seguignol), made judicious use of the waiver wire (Jerome Hollingsworth, Fritz Sinclair et al.), and signed a slew of bargain-bin free agents (including Laynce Jay and Benito Alvarez).

Season 34 Preview
Well, they're going to play some defense, with Earl Huckaby and Yangervis Vega on the roster in addition to Lugo, Christiansen and Seguignol.  Probably a good way to at least minimize damage to the pitching staff.

There are some pretty good holdover pitchers here, at least for the time being (namely, Derrin Duncan and Jose Palacios).  There are a couple more who have yet to prove themselves (Aurelio Borbon and Alfredo Osoria), and then we get into the bargain-bin free agents (although I liked the guys they signed there...and the prices).  All-in-all, I think the staff will hold its own keep things competitive.

This lineup will have trouble scoring much.  Reagan and Trenidad Butler, and occasionally C Carlos Martinez, are about it for run production.

Prognosis:  3rd

Trade I'd Like To See:  Duncan and Palacios for prospects at the deadline.  There are at least a few teams that will wait until the deadline to see where they stand, and then try to add 1 more good reliever for the playoffs.



Trenton Thrashers
wrecks
Season 33:  63-99


Season 33 In A Nutshell
A rebuilder.  Scored big in the draft with IF Bud Robbins at #5 and RP Kurt Menses at #47, and in the IFA market with OF Yoslan Nunez.

Biggest Offseason Moves
Traded for SP Ernie Gaudin, SP Cy Knepper, SP Emmett Hogan, RP Antonio Brea, and SS Wiki Guerrero.  Made 3 nice budget FA signings with  Louie Iglesias, Jim Rogers, and Vic Correa.

Season 34 Outlook 
3 rebuilding teams in one division, although Trenton may have enough run-scoring potential to post a good win #.  1B Dellin Samuel (.268/31/101) and RF Jose Tavarez (.255/26/80) offer some pretty good pop; Season 30 #13 overall Kory Atkins offers more, assuming they decide to call him up after his 20-day minor-league assignment.

The entire pitching staff - except maybe Ernie Gaudin - is a big question mark.  The other guys they traded for - Knepper, Brea, and Hogan, didn't exactly distinguish them selves with their previous clubs.  Al Lorenzo went 4-16 with a 5.45 ERA as a rookie (and an awe-inspiring, in one sense, .512 Slugging % against).  I'm sure we'll see some good performances from this group...just no way to tell who will provide them.

Prognosis: 2nd.  I think they'll score more runs than either J'ville or Columbus, enough to propel them solidly into 2nd place.

Trade I'd Like To See:  For Trenton, not a trade but a move. Promote that prospect Atkins and let's see what he can do. And while they're at it, promote Brisker too, and give him all the backup AB's at 1B, LF, and RF.

Syracuse Lake Monsters  

colton_72
Season 33:  78-84, Won Division, advanced to NLCS and lost to Buffalo


Season 33 In A Nutshell
Facing massive FA defections, won 13 fewer games but still took the Division and made an inspiring playoff run all the way to the NLCS.  Rick Black had his best season - .332, 78 extra base-hits, 103 - and Stan Nash won 15.

Biggest Offseason Moves
Re-signed Stan Nash (SP) and signed free agents Jamey Brewington (2B), Rob Phelps (RP) and Hugh Pierre (RF) - all for pretty modest budget #'s (Brewington is the highest-paid at $6.275MM per year).

Season 34 Preview
Adding Brewington and Pierre to a lineup with Black and 1B Doug Duncan (41 HR's, 124 RBI as a rookie) makes this the most potent offense in the division, and will run them up the NL runs scored chart (735 runs last year -right at league average).  They now have solid lumber at just about every spot - even defensive SS deluxe Evan Crosby can handle the bat some (10 HR, .682 OPS), especially against lefties.

Phelps is the only addition to a staff that was right at league-average ERA (4.24).  There are no stars on this staff (well, maybe Charlie Crudale is a semi-star), but it seems to be the kind of group that can produce a few surprisingly productive seasons: last year it was Alejandro Sosa (10-9, 3.23 in 173 IP)...who will it be this year.

More importantly, who will get hot for the playoffs?
Prognosis:  1st


Trade I'd Like To See:  Despite their deep playoff run last year, I think they need more pitching to consistently get that far and beyond.  They have a couple of pretty big prospects in the low minors - Lawrence Morey and Ivan Cedeno.  Let's say D.C. falls out of the AL East race by the deadline:  1 of those guys for Shane Phillips and Louis Wilson?
Division Outlook
1.  Syracuse
2.  Trenton
3.  Columbus
4.  Jacksonville