Friday, September 30, 2016

First-Half Awards

NL MVP
Tight race that could go any of 4 or 5 ways, but my pick is Tarrik Stockton.  2 seasons ago he was moldering in AAA, and now he's OPSing 1.023, has 17 SB's, and is playing sterling D at 2B for Texas.

Honorable Mention:  Austin's Trace Clark - .291/28/81 with 54 walks.

AL MVP
I've always thought Kelvim Hasegawa would have a few MVP-caliber seasons, and this is certainly one so far.  .330/21/77 with 34 doubles, 31 SB's (and no caught stealing) and excellent defense at 3B.  He's lapping the field in both leagues in both runs created and rc/27.  Stat to watch:  he's on pace to set a new single-season record for doubles (the record is 58), and with his speed and durability he's exactly the kind of player to up that mark.

Honorable mention:  Tony Mullen - .302/35/81.  His 1.026 OPS is 2nd in the AL to Hasegawa and he leads both league in HR's.

NL Cy Young
Quentin McGowan of Texas.  He's the NL leader on OAV, OBP, Slugging% Against, WHIP and ERA even pitching in a hitter's park.


Honorable Mention:  Shannon Rivera (10-1, 2.83 ERA) of Chicago has almost identical numbers to New York's Hannity, but has put those up in a tougher ballpark and has tossed a few more innings.

AL Cy Young
Sam Stock has been more hittable this year than in his first 2, but still leads both leagues in OAV, OBP, and WHIP (and is 2nd to McGowan in Slugging % against).

Honorable Mention:  could go to a bunch of guys, but Philadelphia's Alex Quixote has been outstanding - 10-4, 3.06 ERA while throwing 123 innings

NL ROY
Helena's Earle Carraway (9-3, 2.86 in 122 IP) has pitched well enough that he could make the Cy Young ballot.

AL ROY
Thin year for AL Rookies.  Best of the lot in the first half has been Philly's Gene Cummings, who leads the AL newbies in OPS with .851 and has played an adequate CF.

Tuesday, September 6, 2016

NL South Preview (Season 32)

Season 31 was memorable in the NL South due to Texas' massive choke job, closing out with an L9 and allowing Charlotte to Steam into the post-season like a runaway train, finishing out on a 9-1 run of their own to reach .500 for the season.  The fun stopped rather abruptly, as Charlotte played like their season-long record in getting eliminate 3-0 by Chicago.  The former Santa Fe (now Austin) and San Juan kept the overall division tightly packed to 10 games between everyone.

Early returns have San Juan flipping the script, starting out with 3 big wins over last season's division Champs, looking to recapture their very recent successes Seasons 29 & 30.  Pretty significant turnover on the ML roster should be expected after a 4th place finish follows two pennants, and the Padres held to that form.  Modest FA signings like Omar Gutierrez and Jorge De Aza compliment returning vet Matty Campos and young up and coming stud Branden Clarkson, and should make for a solid line-up, if perhaps lacking in strong gloves outside Orlando Mendoza.

San Juan's starting staff will be led again by steady vets Raymond Patterson and Vladimir Duran with hopes that Harry Bautista can live up to the hype around his "stuff", but their bullpen may hinge on the delicate deployment of some odd fits like potential stud Preston Granderson and Rickey Leary.

The early shine may be coming off their hot start now, but San Juan should avoid the basement this season.

The biggest news in Charlotte this off-season was their gutting of the spirited team that finished the regular season on such a high note.  Moving Zoltan Keppinger and Rich Kohn to Nawlins, then George Camilli and Yean Carlos Gonzalez to Indy basically gutted the major league roster, but the Steam will rise again with an embarrassment of riches in their minors.

Focusing on this season, though, the only new ML piece added on the major moves was Matt Hunter from the Test-Icicles (also a former Indianapolis whatever-they're-called-this-year farm hand... you know, just to close the circle).  He should anchor a reasonable collection of gloves which may not be enough to carry a patchwork pitching staff, hoping to get the ball to Jim Hinchliffe with a lead.

Late blooming Brett McMahan should more than outpace his 11th round draft pick status, but he may be a lone bright spot in a thin lineup.

While it may be a long Season 32 in Charlotte, the future is hot as a kettle.

The heartbreaker of an ending to last season aside, Choades are making their way back up the standings, after a sustained run under the previous regime.  Bob Tucker leads a deep, versatile lineup that should fare well in their hitter friendly home park.

Heavy inning horses Joe CunninghamAl Servet, and Kennie Bonilla will shoulder much of the load getting the ball to a deep (if unspectacular) 'pen led by Norberto Lecuona.  The pitching staff should be helped by a strong defence.

Nobody likes a sweaty Choade, but in Texas this season, the sweat might be starting to pay off.  A second consecutive bridesmaid finish should be looked upon favourably if their overall record continues to take steps forward.

Our geography-challenged Road Trip now takes us from Santa Fe to Austin, who look primed to take a big step forward.  If the pundits weren't sure, then the big off-season move to bring in John Small to anchor the hot corner and pair with incumbent stud P.T. Feliz was the anvil to the forehead.

Subtler observers might have read the tea leaves earlier with in the arrival of Willie Matos and  Torey Izquierdo last season to go with (relative) greybeards Juan Martinez and Willie Tepera, forming a formidable foursome in the starting rotation, with nobody over 25.

Austin look like the team to beat, and the first couple of weeks are looking like the final payoff of a long time in the wilderness for this franchise.

Thursday, September 1, 2016

AL North Preview - Season 32

AL North Preview 

Does anyone want to win this division? Only one real contender exists, as three franchises look for their footing. A dynasty has ended, but all should fear the re-build!

Pre-season AL North Awards
MVP - 2B Miguel Ramirez, Kansas City
Cy Young - SP Happy Blue, Philadelphia
Rookie of the Year - CF Edgardo Mercedes, Vancouver
Most Likely to be Traded - 3B Wilkin Guerrero, Kansas City
Highest Trade Value - 2B Miguel Ramirez, Kansas City 

Final Standings Prediction 
1. Philadelphia 90-72
2. Kansas City 70-92
3. Montreal 68-94
4. Vancouver 65-97

Team Reviews/Previews

Philadelphia Erffdoggs 
Season 31 Review Record: 84-78, 1st in the AL North, lost to New Orleans in the ALDS
Rankings
    Runs Scored: 9th
    Runs Allowed: 24th
    Fielding Percentage:13th
 Awards
    AL Rookie of the Year Yamil Ibanez
    All Star Yordano Valdes

Regular season champion for the first time in 10 seasons, wholck overcame below average pitching to win the North. Offense was led by a strong core of position players Ibanez, Stults, Tabaka, and Simon - all under 26 years old. The pitching staff was held together by innings-eaters Cunningham and Bako. Yordano Valdes had a strong year, converting 33 out of 36 saves.

Season 32 Preview

Mode - Contending

Player Transactions
Additions - Free Agency:SS Orlando Gil, RF Glenallen Ward, SP Vern Buckley, SP Happy Blue. Promotion: RP Yonder Samuel, RP Che-Hsuan Woo, LF Jeff Flanagan

Subtractions - Free Agency: SS Josias Ozuna, RP Pascual Bennett, CF Fred Porter, SP Joe                                          Cunningham. Released: 3B Harold Parker, SP Enny James

Ratings Rankings
Overall: 10th
Rotation: 9th
Bullpen: 17th
Starting Lineup: 4th
Bench: 13th
Average Age: 10th
Average Salary: 15th

Prediction - The Erffdoggs are strong contenders to repeat. In fact, anything other than 1st place would be a major surprise. wholck has kept the young core together, but has he done enough to advance out of the ALDS? The bullpen appears to be stronger, and Quixote is an upgrade at the top of the rotation. An addition or two, and this team could make some noise in the playoffs.

 Kansas City Jayhawks
 Season 31 Review Record: 73-89, 2nd in the AL North
 Rankings
 Runs Scored: 15th
 Runs Allowed: 23rd
 Fielding Percentage: 21st
 Awards
 Silver Slugger - DH Hugh Pierre
 Gold Glove - 2B Miguel Ramirez, LF Fernando Bonilla

A down year for the 8X defending AL North Champion. Offense was solid - led by Pierre and Ramirez, but they still scored 100 less runs than they did in Season 30. Season 31 appears to be the first year of dakar's rebuild of the next NL North Dynasty.

Season 32 Preview
Mode - Rebuilding

Player Transactions
Additions - SP (all "All-Name Future HOF'r" Dickie Wingo, SP Tomas Estrada, Father Time SP Jay Denham. Promoted - RF Julio Rivera. Rule V - CF Quentin Hendrick, SS Paolo Infante

Subtractions - Free Agency - SP Walt Hairston, SP Carlos Tavarez

Ratings Rankings
Overall: 23rd
Rotation: 21st
Bullpen: 12th
Starting Lineup: 19th
 Bench: 27th
 Average Age: 17th
Average Salary: 32nd

Prediction - dakar is clearly in re-build mode, but he still has some very talented pieces to win games. It is unlikely that they improve drmatically on their Season 31 record, and a 70 win season and 2nd or 3rd place is a likely result. 70-92, 2nd in the NL North, not bad for the lowest payroll in the league.

Vancouver Voodoo
Season 31 Review
 Record: 61-101, 3rd in the NL North
 Rankings
 Runs Scored: 30th
 Runs Allowed: 29th
 Fielding Percentage: 14th
 Awards None

The big budget Voodoo had a disappointing season in Season 31. The pitching staff was led by the now-departed Prieto, while the offense relied heavily on the also departed Evans. With the disappointment of Season 31 in the past, the budget, and expectations, have been lowered in Vancouver.

Season 32 Preview
Mode - Rebuilding

Player Transactions
Additions - Free Agency - 1B Peter Brumbaugh, SP Carlos Tavarez, CF Storm Mays,

Subtractions - Free Agency - 1B Doyle Evans, CF Jorge De Aza, C Jung-Lee Wang, SP Footsie Anderson,

Ratings Rankings
Overall: 32nd
Rotation: 29th
 Bullpen: 32nd
Starting Lineup: 31st
Bench: 21st
 Average Age: 24th
 Average Salary: 19th

 Prediction - Anything other than 4th place would be a surprise. hatesong is in full re-building mode, but he's added some expensive pieces in Taverez and Mays to remain competitive.

Montreal Shamrocks Season 31 Review
 Record: 49-113, 4th in NL North
 Rankings
 Runs Scored: 26th
 Runs Allowed: 32nd
 Fielding Percentage: 28th
 Awards Silver Slugger - SS Alex Duran

Yours truly takes over after a train wreck of a season in Season 31. Not much good to say about last season, other than it has lowered the expectations for me! Some very good players look to re-bound from an off-year.

Season 32 Preview
Mode - Rebuilding

Player Transactions
Additions - Free Agency - RP Rich Sinclair, RP Pete Allen. Rule V - 1B Victor Ramirez, SP Kevin Richards, RP Pedro Rijo. Promoted - 3B Josh Gates

Subtractions -Free Agency - RP Frank Becker, CF and 1st Ballot "All-Name" HOF'r Harry Johnson. Released - RF Lefty Hubbard

Ratings Rankings
Overall: 22nd
Rotation: 22nd
Bullpen: 28th
Starting Lineup: 9th
 Bench: 12th
Average Age: 17th
 Average Salary: 23rd

 Prediction - In a very weak division, 2nd place is a possibility, but unlikely. The bats are there, but the pitching will need quite an improvement over Season 31 to make any noise. Sub .500 is all but certain, and a 2nd place finish is a worthwhile goal.